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Confirmation of the victory of the Sadr movement – Announcing the final results of the Iraqi elections

The Iraqi Electoral Commission announced, on Tuesday, the final results of the elections, after reviewing the appeals and objections, and conducting a manual counting of the electoral centers in which the appeals were submitted. But the country is going through a difficult ordeal to form alliances and form a government.

The announced results did not carry a significant change from the initial results, as the Sadrist movement is still ahead with 73 seats, followed by the Alliance of Progress (Muhammad al-Halbousi, Speaker of the House of Representatives) with 37 seats, then the State of Law coalition (Nuri al-Maliki) with 33 seats, then the Kurdistan Democratic Party (Massoud Barzani) ) with 31 seats, the Kurdistan Alliance (the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (Talabani) with 17 seats, and the same for the Al-Fateh Alliance (Hadi al-Amiri), which consists of a coalition of Iraqi Shiite armed groups such as the Badr Movement and Asa’ib Ahl al-Haq (Qais al-Khazali) and others.

The factions announced that they did not recognize the results

In an expected development, the Iraqi Shiite factions brought together by an entity known as the “coordinating framework” consisting of the forces of the Conquest Alliance, the forces of the “State Alliance” led by Ammar al-Hakim and Haider al-Abadi, and other forces announced that they would not recognize the election results.

Those forces said that they continue to “reject the current results and continue the lawsuit filed before the Federal Court to cancel the elections.”

A statement to the framework said, “We categorically reject the results of the current elections, as it has become clear and beyond any doubt that the Electoral Commission has prepared the election results in advance at the expense of the will of the Iraqi people.”

The High Elections Commission denied Tuesday evening “the existence of any fraud in the election results,” stressing in the words of its spokesman, Imad Jamil, that “the international community was supportive of the Iraqi elections.”

Apparently in response to the demands to dismiss the current commission, Jamil told the Iraqi News Agency, “The commission’s work has not ended with the announcement of the final results of the elections. Rather, it will continue to register and prepare for the upcoming elections, such as the provincial council elections.”

The Iraqi legal expert, Suleiman Raddad, told Al-Hurra that “it is doubtful that the Federal Court will meet the demands of the opposition forces and cancel the elections.”

Raddad added that “there is no legal cover to justify canceling the elections, and it may theoretically be possible for the court to order after the votes are counted manually in all the places that were objected by the accusations of fraud.”

Even this option is “very unlikely, if the objectors did not prove beyond any reasonable doubt that forgery operations took place, and not just suspicions of fraud,” according to Raddad.

What will happen?

The “Al-Fateh Alliance”, the main representative of the Popular Mobilization factions in Parliament, won 17 seats, after it held 48 seats in the outgoing parliament.

Even if the “coordinating framework” forces allied themselves, the number of seats may reach 30-32, according to the Iraqi political analyst, Mustafa Al-Masoudi.

Al-Masoudi counted the seats of blocs such as Al-Fateh, Babylon, the National Contract, the forces of the state, and others, “without calculating the rule of law,” he tells the Al-Hurra website.

And if State of Law joins the coalition, it will be able to collect about 60-65 seats, meaning that it will not be able to achieve a majority or “even match the Sadrist seats alone,” according to Al-Masoudi.